De elektronische studiegids voor het academiejaar 2026 - 2027 is onder voorbehoud.





Advanced econometrics: Forecasting (5057)

Coordinating lecturer:Prof. dr. Mark VANCAUTEREN 


Credits: 3,0
Study load hours: 81
Period: semester 2 (3sp)

Language of instruction: English
Exam contract: not possible

2nd Chance Exam1: Yes
Final grade2: Numerical
Tolerance3: See included in these programmes

Sequentiality
Advising sequentiality bound on the level of programme components
 
 
  Following programme components are advised to also be included in your study programme up till now.
    Econometrics (1543) 6.0 stptn  
 


Prerequisites

The student knows the basic principles of estimating a linear regression analysis in a multivariate setting and include formulating and estimating a regression model and interpreting the results. These principles are taught in any basic econometric course.

The use of any software package using econometric tools is required. The course will use R as a software package but prior knowledge of R is not a minimum requirement for the competence.



Content

In this course, students learn various forecasting techniques in the field of time series analysis. Time series data refer to observations collected over time for one or more economic units. We consider time series at different frequencies (annual, monthly, weekly, daily). A central focus of the course is learning to perform these analyses in practice using R. In addition, students are encouraged to independently address company-related issues and to report in writing on the analyses they have conducted. Techniques covered include autoregressive models, vector autoregression (VAR), cointegration, (S)ARIMA, and (G)ARCH models.



Compulsory textbooks (bookshop)
 

Stock, J.H. and M.M. Watson (2020). Introduction to Econometrics (fourth edition). Pearson International Edition.

 

Mandatory software
 

R and RStudio (most recent versions)

 

Remarks
 

Additional lecture notes will be made available. 



Organisational and teaching methods
Organisational methods  
Lecture  
Response lecture  
Small group session  


Evaluation

Semester 2 (3,00sp)

Evaluation method
Written evaluation during teaching period20 %
Homework
Written exam80 %
Closed-book
Open questions
Multiple-choice questions, correction for guessing

Second examination period

Evaluation second examination opportunity different from first examination opprt
Yes
Explanation (English)The written exam counts for 100% of the evaluation.


Learning outcomes
  EC = learning outcomes      DC = partial outcomes      BC = evaluation criteria  
Master of Business Engineering
  •  EC 
  • EC 01: The holder of the degree applies acquired knowledge independently. (Self-direction and entrepreneurial spirit)

  •  EC 
  • EC 05: The holder of the degree communicates clearly and correctly in writing and orally, in a business and academic context, if necessary supplemented with visual support. (Communication)

  •  EC 
  • EC 08: The holder of the degree shows autonomy in implementing scientific research methods. (Research skills)

  •  EC 
  • EC 09: The holder of the degree shows autonomy in analysing, interpreting, evaluating and reporting research results.  (Research skills)

  •  EC 
  • EC 13: The holder of the degree applies in-depth insights from business science and relevant supporting/related disciplines in the analysis of financial and technical business problems. (Problem-solving capacity)

  •  EC 
  • EC 14: The holder of the degree models, designs and evaluates solutions for financial and technical business problems to support decision-making at different levels in a complex context. (Problem-solving capacity)

  •  EC 
  • EC 16: The holder of the degree uses IT applications and basic programming skills to translate financial and technical business data into business-relevant information. (Programme-specific competencies)

 

Included in these programmesTolerance3
Y
Exchange Programme Business Economics Y



1   Education, Examination and Legal Position Regulations art.12.2, section 2.
2   Education, Examination and Legal Position Regulations art.15.1, section 3.
3   Education, Examination and Legal Position Regulations art.16.9, section 2.